Pakistan elections 2024: What went wrong?

Two days before the elections I responded to a question from a DW reporter regarding how I see elections in Pakistan and if there is any sign of pre-poll rigging. I replied to that question by saying what is happening now happened in previous elections as well. Those who were the favourites of the powers that be are now villains and those who were villains in 2018 (ex-PM Sharif) are now their favourites.

Civil society, media outlets, and journalists were all clear about Nawaz Sharif’s return to the country because he had been promised to become prime minister for the fourth time. However, what occurred on the night of February 8 was unexpected for everyone. It seemed like there was no electoral fraud involved, and PTI supporters turned out in large numbers to vote for their preferred candidates. This is precisely what elections entail – surprises and upsets.

Ultimately, the common man has the final say in the process, even though their voice may not be heard or may be lost along the way. The power lies in the people’s voice to such an extent that it must be respected and handled accordingly.

Pakistan has witnessed pre-election rigging where a specific party was deliberately excluded from the democratic process. Despite various legal issues, the timing of the cases and penalties against PTI founder Imran Khan, obstacles to party mobilisation during election campaigns, and internet shutdowns were all part of a series aimed at undermining Mr. Khan and his party’s popularity. However, all these strategies and schemes did not yield the results expected by our system.

All the challenges, legal cases, and oppression faced by the party brought it closer to the people of Pakistan. They felt more sympathetic towards the party and its sole leader. Against this backdrop, one thing became evident: the electoral process was genuinely free and fair. However, the results later sparked doubts and questions, not only in Pakistan but also worldwide.

On the other hand, it is worth questioning how PMLN and its party leader were not aware of this upset and why everyone was so confident of a PMLN victory. Looking at this overconfidence, PMLN failed to fully engage with its voters in the election campaign. They were unable to mobilise their supporters on February 8. Just a week before the election, PMLN released its manifesto. It is unclear whether they doubted the election taking place on February 8 or if they were so assured of their victory that they saw no need for an active campaign, unlike Bilawal Bhutto who effectively campaigned and managed to make gains in Punjab, suggesting a potential turnaround in the next elections through continued efforts.

The crucial democratic phase has thankfully concluded in a peaceful environment. However, the current situation is not much different from the previous PDM government. The same individuals and similar economic conditions persist. We are facing challenges and severe polarisation lies ahead. While the people have voiced their opinions but like always, they are not the ultimate decision-makers of the country.

With the new weak government in power, it is difficult for a rational mind to comprehend the future plans of the actual decision-makers of Pakistan.