CO2 AI and BCG study released ahead of COP28

DUBAI: As climate-related disasters intensify in frequency and severity, so does the economic impact on communities and businesses. Despite a responsibility to mitigate the crisis with emissions reductions in their operations and supply chains, companies have not made much progress in comprehensively measuring and reducing their emissions over the past year, according to a new study by CO2 AI and Boston Consulting Group (BCG) being released ahead of COP28.

Titled ‘Why Some Companies Are Ahead in the Race to Net Zero’, the study builds on CO2 AI and BCG’s 2021 and 2022 investigations into the progress that businesses around the world have made on emissions measurement and reduction.

CO2 AI and BCG surveyed 1,850 executives responsible for emissions measurement, reporting, and reduction in their organisations across 18 major industries and 23 countries. Each organisation surveyed had at least 1,000 employees and annual revenues ranging from $100 million to over $10 billion.

“Reflecting the UAE’s leadership in climate action, the nation has launched the UAE Net Zero by 2050 strategic initiative, being among the first in the Middle East and North Africa to

target net-zero emissions by 2050. This ambitious drive underscores the region’s commitment to comprehensive emissions measurement and reduction, aligning with global sustainability goals,” said Shelly Trench, Managing Director and Partner at BCG.

Progress on Comprehensive Emissions Measurement Remains Slow

According to the survey, just 10% of companies now report comprehensively measuring all their emissions, revealing no improvement relative to the 2022 survey. More concerning, only 14% of the companies report reducing emissions in line with their ambitions over the past five years, down 3pp from 2022, citing difficult economic conditions and capital constraints as challenges to their reduction efforts.

However, companies that have made decarbonisation progress are realizing both financial and non-financial benefits to their business, citing reputational value, lower operating costs, and regulatory compliance among the top benefits. When asked to quantify, 40% of respondents estimate an annual financial benefit of at least $100 million from meeting emissions reduction targets, a 3 pp increase compared with last year’s survey.

An Improvement in Scope 3 Emissions Measurement

The number of respondents indicating partial measurement and reporting of Scope 3 emissions has increased by 19pp since 2021, from 34% to 53%. In tandem, more respondents said they have set Scope 3 reduction targets — up 12pp since 2021, from 23% to 35% — with the most common areas of focus being waste management and purchased goods and services.

Some regions have demonstrated clear improvement in comprehensive measurement of emissions in the past two years. Asia Pacific respondents improved comprehensive reporting of Scope 1 (direct emissions from company-owned and controlled resources), 2 (indirect emissions from the generation of purchased energy that an organisation consumes), and 3 (indirect emissions that occur in the value chain of a company, including both upstream and downstream missions) emissions by 7pp since 2021. The number of South American and North American respondents improved comprehensively reporting their internal emissions, Scopes 1 and 2, by 9pp and 5pp, respectively.

Four Traits of Companies Reducing Emissions in Line with Ambitions

Companies that report reducing their emissions in line with their ambitions were found to display four notable traits more strongly:

• Collaborating with suppliers and customers on emissions measurement and reduction: 75% of companies that reduced emissions in line with their ambition have joint reduction initiatives with most of their suppliers, and 54% have similar initiatives with most of their customers.
• Calculating emissions at the product level: The survey found that 75% of companies attempt to calculate emissions for at least some of their products “from cradle to gate,” that is, from raw materials to distribution.
• Harnessing the power of digital technology in the emissions-management process: Companies with automated digital solutions for measurement are 2.5 times more likely to measure their emissions comprehensively. In addition, 30% of companies plan to expand the deployment of AI-powered tools within the next three years to improve accuracy, efficiency, and decision-making in emissions management.
• Viewing Regulations Positively: They are 2.0 times more likely to view emissions-reporting regulations as a key reduction enabler.

“In the GCC, the advancement and expansion of artificial intelligence and technology in addressing climate sustainability are drawing international attention and reinforcing the region’s commitment. The strategic investment in AI-driven solutions is revolutionising

resource management and carbon emission reduction, showcasing innovative approaches to environmental stewardship. This proactive adoption of cutting-edge technologies demonstrates the GCC’s dedication to leading in sustainable solutions, catering to its distinct environmental and economic contexts. The burgeoning interest from global stakeholders further underscores the region’s role as a pioneer in integrating technology with sustainability,” said Robert Xu, Managing Director and Partner at BCG.